Avaragado’s 2025 predictions – results

Yes, it’s my annual brace of blog posts. First, the predictable outcomes of last year’s predictions – see below – and later, once the alcohol has evaporated and/or metabolised from the annual prediction/booze-up extravaganza, our ridiculous theories for the year ahead.

My comments are in bold in square brackets.

Predictions

  • Chef: When will the next Gaza ceasefire be?
    • Adrian: none
    • Louise: Trump will claim there is one, but there isn’t
      • [Pretty accurate]
    • AndyC: There may be ceasefires but they don’t count as everyone will keep shooting
      • [Also pretty accurate]
    • Chef: March
    • Chris: “Half-past four”
    • Melanie: February
    • Jo: Christmas Day temporary ceasefire
    • AndyH: There won’t be any that work
      • [Arguably true]
    • David: none
      • [Wrong but also right]
    • [Technically there was a ceasefire in January 2025, and a Gaza peace plan was signed in October 2025]
  • Chris: Who/whom/what will be the next casualty of the high street?
    • Adrian: Fopp
    • Louise: Costa
    • AndyC: WHSmith, Next
    • Chef: Prezzo
    • Chris: Zizzi
    • Melanie: Fat Face
    • Jo: Miss Selfridge
    • AndyH: WHSmith
    • David: WHSmith
    • [WHSmith disappeared from the high street in 2025, replaced by identical shops with the made-up comedy name TGJones. WHSmith still exists in airports, railway stations, and other travel-related locations for the purposes of confusion]
  • David: When will Trump sack/get rid of Musk?
    • Adrian: October
    • Louise: He won’t
    • AndyC: He won’t
    • Chef: September
    • Chris: January
    • Melanie: January, but Musk won’t accept it
    • Jo: December
    • AndyH: Q1
    • David: January
    • [It was in June, but they’ve since been flirting again]
  • Louise: Will Musk become a trillionaire?
    • Adrian: No
    • Louise: Yes
    • AndyC: Yes
    • Chef: No, $100bn
    • Chris: No
    • Melanie: No
    • Jo: No
    • AndyH: Yes
    • David: No
    • [Not yet. At time of writing he’s supposedly worth about $750bn. In related news, we’re all doomed]
  • Chef: How many press secretaries will Trump get through by the end of 2025?
    • Adrian: 1
    • Louise: 2
    • AndyC: 3
    • Chef: 2
    • Chris: 1
    • Melanie: 3
    • Jo: 5
    • AndyH: 3
    • David: 2
    • [Astonishingly he’s still on his first press secretary, so Adrian and Chris win this one]
  • Adrian: Will Keir Starmer still be PM on the last day of 2025?
    • Adrian: no
    • Louise: yes
    • AndyC: yes
    • Chef: yes
    • Chris: yes
    • Melanie: no
    • Jo: yes
    • AndyH: yes
    • David: yes
    • [He still is. Whether he’ll still be around at the end of 2026 is another matter]
  • Jo: When/will the wars/fighting in Ukraine/Gaza/Syria/Lebanon end?
    • Adrian: Ukraine still at war; same for Gaza
    • Louise: Ukraine and Gaza “going to drag on”
    • AndyC: “They will all form a single state in rebellion against the rest of the world”
    • Chef: Ukraine: January; Syria “will remain not at war”; Gaza: September; Lebanon: September
    • Chris: July
    • Melanie: No
    • Jo: Never; maybe Christmas Day temporary ceasefire
    • AndyH: Syria/Gaza no; Ukraine “cold war” but no real end, with a de-escalation
    • David: Everything will drag on
    • [Russia/Ukraine is still ongoing. Israel/Gaza is in a “ceasefire”]
  • David: How many books will Anthony Camber sell in 2025? (Everyone was told that two new books are coming and AC sold almost nothing in 2024 with no new books out.)
    • Adrian: 22
    • Louise: 7
    • AndyC: 7
    • Chef: 12
    • Chris: 43
    • Melanie: 10
    • Jo: 5000
    • AndyH: 7
    • David: 50
    • [The numbers: 53 Amazon sales – paperback and ebook – plus roughly another 4 if you add Kindle Unlimited page reads, and one more ebook on Kobo. So about 58 overall]
  • David: What will be the UK’s highest temperature?
    • Adrian: 40.2
    • Louise: 42
    • AndyC: 41
    • Chef: 38
    • Chris: 220 (200 fan)
    • Melanie: 39
    • Jo: 45
    • AndyH: 38
    • David: 39
    • [According to the Met Office: 35.8ºC, set in Faversham, Kent on 1 July]
  • Chef: Which month will Chris and Melanie sell (complete) their old house?
    • Adrian: April
    • Louise: September
    • AndyC: In November they sell the new house and move back to the old house
    • Chef: July
    • Chris: December
    • Melanie: September
    • Jo: April
    • AndyH: September
    • David: July
    • [It was in November]
  • AndyC: Will the Town and Gown still be called the Town and Gown?
    • Adrian: yes
    • Louise: yes
    • AndyC: yes
    • Chef: yes
    • Chris: yes
    • Melanie: yes
    • Jo: yes
    • AndyH: yes
    • David: yes
    • [Yes]
  • Melanie: How many bottles of wine will Chris buy at auction?
    • Adrian: 0
    • Louise: 0
    • AndyC: 0
    • Chef: 5
    • Chris: 0
    • Melanie: 6
    • Jo: 5
    • AndyH: 3
    • David: 5
    • [The official total is zero]
  • Celebrity deaths:
    • Adrian: Chris Hoy
    • Louise: Bruce Willis
    • AndyC: Dick van Dyke, Vladimir Putin
    • Chef: Richard E Grant
    • Chris: Gloria Hunniford
    • Melanie: Katie Price
    • Jo: Someone in royalty
    • AndyH: Tom Baker
    • David: Donald Trump
    • [“Someone in royalty”, yes: the Duchess of Kent died in September. Arguably we’re another royal down with the disenprincement of Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor. Everyone else named above is still alive]

Coming soon: 2026.

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