Avaragado’s 2024 predictions – results

You know the drill. At the tail end of 2023 we made confident/drunk predictions for 2024 and let’s now all bask in the radioactively wrong results.

My comments are in bold in square brackets.

Predictions

• Randoms:
  • AndyC: Virgin Galactic goes completely bust “and stops”
    • [Does not appear to have come true]
  • Chris: “Humanity lands on the moon before the end of 2024”
    • [Nope, taking “humanity” to mean “humans”]
• David: When will the general election be?
  • Adrian: June
  • Louise: June
  • AndyC: May
  • David: May
  • Melanie: July
  • Chris: 2024
  • Chef: 2025
  • [Melanie was correct! Technically so was Chris]
• David: Who will win the election?
  • Adrian: Labour
  • Louse: Labour
  • AndyC: Keir
  • David: Labour
  • Melanie: Labour
  • Chris: Green
  • Chef: Labour
  • [No great surprise here: yes, Chris was very drunk by this point]
• Adrian: Does the Gaza war spread to Egypt?
  • Adrian: Yes, in June
  • Louise: No, to Lebanon maybe
  • AndyC: Both sides sign up to dual state
  • David: No
  • Melanie: No
  • Chris: “No, not before the end of January thank you”
  • Chef: Not Egypt, Syria
  • [It has not so far. Lebanon, yes, so Louise wins this one]
• Melanie: How many states will ban Trump from standing?
  • Adrian: 5
  • Louise: 4
  • AndyC: 4
  • David: 3
  • Melanie: 6
  • Chris: 79
  • Chef: Effectively none – supreme court will overrule the bans
  • [I think Chef is closest to being right here. Chris is very much the most wrong]
• Louise: Will there be at least one riot in the UK linked to the cost of living crisis?
  • Adrian: No
  • Louise: Yes
  • AndyC: Yes
  • David: No
  • Melanie: No, it’ll be something else
  • Chris: “There is no cost of living crisis, everyone is rich”
  • Chef: No (too many strikes for people to get there)
  • [Riots, yes; not exactly related to the cost of living though. Melanie wins?]
• Adrian: Who is the next US president?
  • Adrian: Michelle Obama
  • Louise: Trump
  • AndyC: Kanye West
  • David: Trump
  • Melanie: Elon Musk
  • Chris: Michael J Fox
  • Chef: Biden
  • [Sigh. Louise and David were correct]
• Melanie: Who will be the most famous/damaging person to appear on the Epstein list?
  • Adrian: Barack Obama
  • Louise: Samuel L Jackson
  • AndyC: Farage
  • David: Trump
  • Melanie: Tom Hanks
  • Chris: Russell Brand, Bernard Cribbins
  • Chef: Bill Clinton
  • [The list includes Bill Clinton and Donald Trump: points for David and Chef]
• Celebrity deaths
  • Adrian: The Queen, Nigel Farage
  • Louise: Joe Biden, David Attenborough
  • AndyC: Jimmy Carr
  • David: Prince Andrew, Neil Kinnock
  • Melanie: Fergie, DIonne Warwick
  • Chris: Harrison Ford
  • Chef: A Beatle, a Rolling Stone
  • [No points for anyone]

Stay tuned for 2025.