Avaragado’s 2011 predictions – results

Adjudicated as ever by the glamorous and drunken Miss Christopher Walsh, here are the staggering results of Avaragado’s 2011 predictions. Adjudications and corrections in square brackets.


  1. Kate gets William’s name slightly wrong in the wedding ceremony. [0pt]
  2. The Great British Public vote No in the AV referendum. [1pt]
  3. Sarah Palin officially declares as a Republican candidate for US President. [0pt – announced in Oct that she would not be running.]
  4. At least one national UK newspaper closes by the end of the year. [1pt – News of the World]
  5. Sudan will break apart. [1pt – South Sudan became an independent state on 9 July 2011]

[Score: 3/5]


  1. Only one of the home nations qualifies for the Euro 2012 football championships. [1pt – England in; Scotland, Wales & Northern Ireland are out.]
  2. Andy Murray reaches the men’s singles final of at least one Grand Slam tournament. [1pt – Beaten by Novak Djoković in the final of the Australian Open]
  3. Pyeongchang in South Korea is awarded the 2018 Winter Olympics. [1pt]
  4. New Zealand win the 2011 Rubgy Union World Cup. [1pt – defeated France 8–7 in the final]
  5. Manchester United wins the English football Premiership. [1pt – Manchester United won their 12th Premier League title and their 19th championship, beating Liverpool’s record of 18 championships set in 1990]

[Score: 5/5]


  1. Apple launches a new thinner, lighter, faster iPad model with a camera. [1pt – iPad 2 launched March 11 2011: 33% thinner, 15% lighter, twice as fast, and 2 cameras.]
  2. Yahoo sells Flickr to Google. [0pt – Flickr still owned by Yahoo, though rumours in Oct that Google was considering buying Yahoo (cutting out the middle man!)]
  3. Facebook buys Skype. [0pt – 10 May 2011, Microsoft buys Skype]
  4. There will not be a ‘Windows Phone 7 for Tablets’. [1pt]
  5. Steve Ballmer will be replaced as Microsoft CEO. [0pt – Still there.]

[Score: 2/5]


  1. Oscar for Best Actor: Colin Firth, for The King’s Speech. [1 p-p-p-p-p-point]
  2. Oscar for Best Supporting Actor: Andrew Garfield, for The Social Network. [0pt – Christian Bale for The Fighter]
  3. Oscar for Best Film: The Social Network. [0pt – The King’s Speech]
  4. Oscar for Best Director: Christopher Nolan for Inception. [0pt – Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech]
  5. Upstairs Downstairs returns as a regular TV series. [0.5pt – Didn’t return in 2011 but BBC1 has recommissioned six 60-minute episodes of the drama to be broadcast in 2012]

[Score: 1.5/5]


  1. Pembroke finish Head of the River in the May Bumps (men’s first division). [0pt – Caius 1st; Pembroke down to 5th]
  2. Cambridge win the University Boat Race. [0pt – Oxford won]
  3. Strawberry Fair takes place. [1pt – Yes]
  4. By the year’s end Cambridge’s LGBT pub is not The Bird. [0pt]
  5. The Misguided Bus actually opens. [1pt – Hurrah!]

[Score: 2/5]

Celebrity Deathwatch

  1. Margaret Thatcher [0pt – alive, though regenerated into Meryl Streep]
  2. Zsa Zsa Gabor [0pt – alive, though deficient in the leg department to the tune of one]
  3. Kirk Douglas [0pt – still alive]
  4. Michael Douglas [0pt – still alive]
  5. King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia [0pt – still alive]

[Score: 0/5]

[Total score: 13.5/30]

Not bad, not bad. An 80% success rate on news and sport is very pleasing. Appearance on my deathwatch list is a guarantee of immortality, as usual.

Stay tuned for Avaragado’s 2012 predictions…


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