2019 predictions – results

I’m not entirely sure why I bother, but here we are again.

At our semi-annual New Year’s Eve lunch yesterday, it emerged that I was the only one to remember our group predictions from the last gasp of 2018. While Chef and Chris glugged the wine, I dug out the predictions and scored us all.

It’s fascinating, I tell you. Here are the results.

One or other

  1. The upcoming Sussex youngling. Which flavour: M, F or other?
    • Actual: M
    • ❌ Chris: F (and ginger)
    • ✅ Melanie: M
    • ✅ Chef: M
    • ❌ David: F
  2. Ultima Thule, to be visited by New Horizons mere hours after I post. What will it turn out to be: contact binary, close binary, or other?
    • Actual: contact binary
    • ❌ Chris: other – non-binary
    • ❌ Melanie: close binary
    • ✅ Chef: contact binary
    • ✅ David: contact binary
  3. The Crystal Maze, Richard Ayoade edition. Axed or not?
    • Actual: not
    • ❌ Chris: axed
    • ❌ Melanie: axed
    • ❌ Chef: axed
    • ❌ David: axed

Yes or no, plus

  1. Will there be a second referendum on Brexit? If there is, who wins?
    • Actual: no
    • ✅ Chris: no (if there is, remain wins)
    • ✅ Melanie: no (dunno)
    • ✅ Chef:  no (remain)
    • ✅ David: no (remain)
  2. Will there be a general election? If there is, who wins?
    • Actual: yes (Tories)
    • ❌❌ Chris: no (DUP) (yes, he’d had a few glasses of wine by now)
    • ❌❌ Melanie: no (hung)
    • ✅❌ Chef: yes (hung)
    • ✅❌ David: yes (hung)
  3. Will Brexit happen on March 29th? (I should’ve asked about the type of deal really)
    • Actual: no
    • ❌ Chris: yes
    • ❌ Melanie: yes
    • ❌ Chef: yes (with some deal, but not May’s current offering)
    • ❌ David: yes

Higher or lower

  1. Which film has the better opening weekend: Avengers Endgame or Star Wars Episode IX?
    • Actual: AE ($1.2bn) over IX ($725m)
    • ❌ Chris: IX (but he actually thinks AE) (yes, still drinking)
    • ❌ Melanie: IX
    • ❌ Chef: IX
    • ✅ David: AE
  2. Which football gang finishes higher in the 2018-19 Premier League: Arsenal or Tottenham Hotspur?
    • Actual: Tottenham (3rd) over Arsenal (6th)
    • ❌ Chris: Arsenal (via Accrington Stanley) (cheers)
    • ✅ Melanie: Tottenham
    • ❌ Chef: Arsenal
    • ✅ David: Tottenham
  3. Which corporation has the greater market capitalisation: Apple or Microsoft?
    • Actual: Apple ($1.295tn) over Microsoft ($1.202tn)
    • ✅ Chris: Apple
    • ❌ Melanie: Microsoft
    • ❌ Chef: Microsoft
    • ❌ David: Microsoft

Comings and goings

(as at December 31, 2019)

  1. Who will be the UK PM?
    • Actual: Boris Johnson
    • ❌ Chris: Theresa May
    • ❌ Melanie: Sajid Javid
    • ✅ Chef: Boris Johnson
    • ❌ David: Sajid Javid
  2. Who will be the Manchester United football manager?
    • Actual: Ole Gunnar Solskjær
    • ❌ Chris: Sir Alex Ferguson (hic)
    • ❌ Melanie: Jose Mourinho
    • ✅ Chef: Ole Gunnar Solskjær
    • ✅ David: Ole Gunnar Solskjær
  3. How many moonwalkers will still be alive? (Currently, 4 of 12)
    • Actual: 4
    • ❌ Chris: 3
    • ❌ Melanie: 3
    • ✅ Chef: 4
    • ❌ David: 3

Dates

  1. When will Trump resign? Or won’t he resign in 2019?
    • Actual: he didn’t
    • ✅ Chris: he won’t resign
    • ✅ Melanie: he won’t resign
    • ✅ Chef: he won’t resign
    • ❌ David: June 1st
  2. When will May resign? Or won’t she resign in 2019?
    • Actual: July 24th
    • ❌ Chris: she won’t resign
    • ✅ (closest) Melanie: June
    • ❌ Chef: October 1st
    • ❌ David: April 15th
  3. When will Prince Philip die? Or will he make it to 2020?
    • Actual: still going
    • ❌ Chris: January 10th
    • ✅ Melanie: he won’t die in 2019
    • ❌ Chef: June 1st
    • ✅ David: he won’t die in 2019

See, I told you it was fascinating. And the final scores:

  • 🥄 Chris: 3
  • 🥉 Melanie: 6
  • 🥇 Chef: 8
  • 🥈David: 7

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